Who's Next,
Comrade?

How the model works

Each candidate is assessed using a proprietary weighting system that incorporates their position in the CCP hierarchy, seniority, factional alignment, and proximity to Xi Jinping at official functions. PSC members carry substantially higher prior probability than Politburo members, who in turn outrank the Central Committee. Assessments are recalibrated daily as new intelligence becomes available.

Probabilities are normalised to sum to 100% across all 200 tracked candidates. In practice, the top 7 PSC members collectively account for the majority of total probability mass — a reflection of how power is actually concentrated in a Leninist party-state. The remaining probability is distributed across 193 members who are, we are told, honoured to be included.